Hurricane season in our region of the world begins June 1.  A disturbance over the pennisula of Florida was hinting at an early start this year.  However the latest discussion below shows less of a chance of that system becoming the first tropical storm. 

SPECIAL TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
830 AM EDT TUE MAY 19 2009

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC…CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO…

1. SATELLITE IMAGES AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS INDICATE THAT THE WEAK AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED NEAR THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS IS BECOMING ABSORBED BY A LARGER NON-TROPICAL LOW CENTERED OVER FLORIDA.
DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM NOW APPEARS UNLIKELY…AND THE AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT MISSION SCHEDULED FOR TODAY HAS BEEN CANCELED. IN ADDITION…LITTLE DEVELOPMENT OF THE NON-TROPICAL LOW OVER FLORIDA IS EXPECTED AS IT MOVES WESTWARD INTO THE GULF OF MEXICO AT 10 MPH OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. 

 THERE IS A LOW CHANCE…LESS THAN 30 PERCENT…OF TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT IN THIS AREA DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.  THIS WILL BE THE LAST SPECIAL TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK ISSUED FOR THIS SYSTEM.

$$
FORECASTER BERG 

Atlantic Hurricane Names

The following names will be used for named storms that form in the North Atlantic in 2009. Retired names, if any, will be announced by the World Meteorological Organization in the spring of 2010. The names not retired from this list will be used again in the 2015 season. Names that were not used are marked in gray, and names in bold are storms currently active. This is the same list used in the 2003 season with the exception of Fred, Ida, and Joaquin, which replaced Fabian, Isabel, and Juan respectively. If there are more than 21 named storms (the 21st being Wanda) then any more tropical storm-strength systems will be named with the Greek alphabet, starting with Alpha. This has only occurred once, in 2005.

Ana (unused) Bill (unused) Claudette (unused) Danny (unused) Erika (unused) Fred (unused) Grace (unused)

Henri (unused) Ida (unused) Joaquin (unused) Kate (unused) Larry (unused) Mindy (unused) Nicholas (unused)

Odette (unused) Peter (unused) Rose (unused) Sam (unused) Teresa (unused) Victor (unused) Wanda (unused)

Tropical storms and hurricanes, particularly when they make landfall in the northwestern Gulf of Mexico, can certainly affect the weather here in the Tennessee Valley.  Flooding rains and sometimes even tornadoes are spawned from the remnants of these powerful systems.

Storm Force 31 will be ever watchful for these possibilities!

All images from NOAA.

Gary Dobbs, Meteorologist / StormForce 31

This entry was posted on Tuesday, May 19th, 2009 at 11:26 am and is filed under Gary. You can follow any responses to this entry through the RSS 2.0 feed. Both comments and pings are currently closed.