Archive for May, 2009

May Becomes a Record WET Month

Tuesday, May 26th, 2009

However June Will Begin on the Dry Side

It has rained 21 of the first 26 days of this month at the official National Weather site at Huntsville International Airport, and that ties a record set in 1946 and tied in2006 for the most days of rain in May.  The all-time record for ANY month is 23 days, and the National Weather Service says we have a good chance of tying that, if not POSSIBLY breaking it.  For Measurable rain, we are now up to 15 days, 2 short of the May record.  Also for the month of May, we have seen just over 10″ of rain at the NWS official coffee can this month.

LOTSA MAY RAIN

Scattered showers and thunderstorms will continue Wednesday and Thursday until a cool front heads through Thursday afternoon, with cooler weather on Friday.  However, a fairly strong upper level storm system will follow the front and keep a threat for a thunderstorm in the afternoon forecast as the cooler weather heads in.  These types of isolated thunderstorms frequently carry hail as the cooler air in the upper atmosphere cools the rain quickly to form these ice pellets.  Great weather Saturday will precede a few isolated t-storms Sunday as temperatures climb fairly quickly, and head into the upper 80s to near 90 next week.

You can stay up-to-date for the latest forecast details on WAAY-TV, www.waaytv.com, Twitter & Facebook (StormForce31).  Check the 7-Day Forecast for Additional Details.

Brad Huffines, Chief Meteorologist / Storm Force 31

More Storms and MORE

Monday, May 25th, 2009

But there IS a Break Coming Our Way

FINALLY.  We can TALK about some rain and storm free weather in the 7-Day forecast.  Not for today, nor tomorrow, nor the NEXT day.  But by NEXT weekend, there is a likelihood of seeing some very nice weather NEXT weekend.  I know, one weekend too late to have a great holiday weekend, but at least a nice weekend to FINALLY be able to plan for.

Great Weather for the Weekend

With more rain, showers, and thunderstorms in the forecast Monday evening through Thursday morning, we have a chance for some strong to severe thunderstorms daily until the weather pattern changes entirely Thursday along with a cool front.  The heaviest thunderstorms will occur in and just after the heat of the day, so remain weather aware if outdoors with approaching showers and thunderstorms.

More Shower TUE (and WED)

You can stay up-to-date for the latest forecast details on WAAY-TV, www.waaytv.com, Twitter & Facebook (StormForce31).  Check the 7-Day Forecast for Additional Details.

Brad Huffines, Chief Meteorologist / Storm Force 31

Atlantis Lands Safely in the Desert

Sunday, May 24th, 2009

 

Shuttle Atlantis landed Sunday at 11:39 A.M. EDT at Edwards AFB in the California desert under clear skies. The landing completed a successful STS-125 mission to service and upgrade the Hubble Space Telescope. Atlantis completed nearly 13 days in orbit and was originally planning to return home at Kennedy Space Center in Florida; however, due to continuous waves of rain and storms that has brought more than 12” of rain to the region, mission leaders decided to abort and land in California instead. This is a costly decision as it will now cost nearly $2 million to ferry the shuttle across country. For more on this story you can click on the video below.

 

Dale Bader / Meteorologist, Storm Force 31 

Shuttle Landing In Jeopardy, Again, Sunday for the Cape

Saturday, May 23rd, 2009

Could Become a Costly Landing at Edwards AFB

Shuttle Atlantis continues to orbit Earth awaiting the “Go” to land. The hope of NASA has been to land the shuttle at Kennedy Space Center. However, continued rain and storms has forced the agency to scrub planned landings the past two days.  Mission  Control is now planning on trying again, Sunday, to land at the primary site of Kennedy Space Center. The first attempt will be made at 10:11 AM EDT, weather permitting. If needed, there is a second opportunity to land at KSC on Sunday if the first time is not a GO. In the worse case scenario, Atlantis could land at Edwards AFB in California as there will be two additional opportunities to land there on Sunday. The downfall of landing at Edwards is that it costs about $2 million to ferry the shuttle across the country after the landing.

So will mother nature cooperate for NASA and allow a landing at Kennedy Space Center? At this time, it appears that yet again more rain and storms are likely, Sunday, at the landing site. However, the best chances for rain and storms will arrive after noon so it may be possible that the morning landing opportunity will be a “Go”

If NASA decides to land at Edwards instead, the weather there is likely to cooperate as clear skies are forecast. The only fly in the ointment would be the winds,which are forecast to be in the range of 15-25 with higher gusts.

Dale Bader, Meteorologist / Storm Force 31

Unsettled Holiday Weekend Weather

Friday, May 22nd, 2009

Scattered Areas of Showers May Slow You Down

An area of low pressure in the Gulf of Mexico continues to spin abundant moisture into the TN Valley delivering a much more humid feel to the air as you walk outside. Plus, scattered areas of rain across the Tennesssee Valley will likely pulse down overnight and pulse back up as the afternoon heats back up Saturday.

Scattered Showers on Sunday

The low in the Gulf will track into the lower MS Valley by Sunday and then track NNW into Monday.  Winds will remain out of the east or southeast, which will keep this stream of Atlantic and Gulf moisture overhead and on the ground where we breathe.  The warm afternoon weather will feel a bit warmer with the humidity bringing a slight heat index to our skin.  As you are planning your outdoor activities for this holiday weekend, be prepared for a few showers, and at times, heavy enough to run you indoors until they pass.

Scattered Memorial Day Showers

And on Monday, take the time to remember those who have fallen in defense of our country.  This is the reason many of us are off work Monday, and I hope we honor and remember those who have helped keep our freedom and way of life by sacrificing their very lives.

You can stay up-to-date for the latest forecast details on WAAY-TV, www.waaytv.com, Twitter & Facebook (StormForce31).  Check the 7-Day Forecast for Additional Details.

Brad Huffines, Chief Meteorologist / Storm Force 31

Unofficial Start of Summer Threatened

Tuesday, May 19th, 2009

Memorial Day Brings a Wet Change

There remains a low pressure system in South Florida, and very unsettled weather across the Islands of the Bahamas.  This unsettled area is moving westward slowly and being watched by the meteorologists and researchers at the Tropical Prediction Center in Miami, FL, for signs of potential tropical development.  As low pressure enters the Gulf of Mexico, while tropical development is less likely, there remains chance the this unsettled area could turn into a tropical ‘cyclone’, and perhaps spin up into something more.

Tropical-Type Low Into the Gulf

Until then, for the Tennessee Valley, we’ll see high clouds moving overhead late Tuesday nioght and Wednesday.  There remains an outside threat for a few widely scattered showers and t-storms Thursday through Sunday afternoons, as the low pressure in the Gulf decides what it will do, computer models assigned to attempt to help us forecast these things, suggest a northward drift this weekend, spreading rain and t-storm chances our way Memorial Day and the day after.

Storm in the Gulf

At this point I would not cancel any outdoor plans, but I would make certain my plans this weekend, and especially Monday, include shelter or safe harbor for the threat for showers and thunderstorms.

You can stay up-to-date for the latest forecast details on WAAY-TV, www.waaytv.com, Twitter & Facebook (StormForce31).  Check the 7-Day Forecast for Additional Details.

Brad Huffines, Chief Meteorologist / Storm Force 31

Hurricane Season On the WAAY

Tuesday, May 19th, 2009

Hurricane season in our region of the world begins June 1.  A disturbance over the pennisula of Florida was hinting at an early start this year.  However the latest discussion below shows less of a chance of that system becoming the first tropical storm. 

SPECIAL TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
830 AM EDT TUE MAY 19 2009

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC…CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO…

1. SATELLITE IMAGES AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS INDICATE THAT THE WEAK AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED NEAR THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS IS BECOMING ABSORBED BY A LARGER NON-TROPICAL LOW CENTERED OVER FLORIDA.
DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM NOW APPEARS UNLIKELY…AND THE AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT MISSION SCHEDULED FOR TODAY HAS BEEN CANCELED. IN ADDITION…LITTLE DEVELOPMENT OF THE NON-TROPICAL LOW OVER FLORIDA IS EXPECTED AS IT MOVES WESTWARD INTO THE GULF OF MEXICO AT 10 MPH OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. 

 THERE IS A LOW CHANCE…LESS THAN 30 PERCENT…OF TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT IN THIS AREA DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.  THIS WILL BE THE LAST SPECIAL TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK ISSUED FOR THIS SYSTEM.

$$
FORECASTER BERG 

Atlantic Hurricane Names

The following names will be used for named storms that form in the North Atlantic in 2009. Retired names, if any, will be announced by the World Meteorological Organization in the spring of 2010. The names not retired from this list will be used again in the 2015 season. Names that were not used are marked in gray, and names in bold are storms currently active. This is the same list used in the 2003 season with the exception of Fred, Ida, and Joaquin, which replaced Fabian, Isabel, and Juan respectively. If there are more than 21 named storms (the 21st being Wanda) then any more tropical storm-strength systems will be named with the Greek alphabet, starting with Alpha. This has only occurred once, in 2005.

  • Ana (unused)
  • Bill (unused)
  • Claudette (unused)
  • Danny (unused)
  • Erika (unused)
  • Fred (unused)
  • Grace (unused)
  • Henri (unused)
  • Ida (unused)
  • Joaquin (unused)
  • Kate (unused)
  • Larry (unused)
  • Mindy (unused)
  • Nicholas (unused)
  • Odette (unused)
  • Peter (unused)
  • Rose (unused)
  • Sam (unused)
  • Teresa (unused)
  • Victor (unused)
  • Wanda (unused)

Tropical storms and hurricanes, particularly when they make landfall in the northwestern Gulf of Mexico, can certainly affect the weather here in the Tennessee Valley.  Flooding rains and sometimes even tornadoes are spawned from the remnants of these powerful systems.

Storm Force 31 will be ever watchful for these possibilities!

All images from NOAA.

Gary Dobbs, Meteorologist / StormForce 31

Record Lows Possible TUE Morning

Monday, May 18th, 2009

Patches of FROST are ALSO Possible

Tonight’s record lows for Tuesday morning are 40 in Huntsville, 41 in the Shoals, 39 Athens, 39 Cullman, 35 Fayetteville, 38 Scottsboro, and 34 Valley Head, all records from 1976.

Overnight Low Temperatures Tuesday Morning

With metro temperatures possible into the lower 40s, there remains a chance for a few fallen records by Tuesday morning.  I happen to LOVE weather THIS chilly into late May, but that is just me.

Brad Huffines, Chief Meteorologist / Storm Force 31

Has It Really Been That Wet?

Saturday, May 16th, 2009

YES, it Has and Here is the Proof…….

If you have been thinking that it has been quite wet across the Valley, you would be thinking correctly. The first 16 days of May have been the wettest first 16 days in May, EVER, in Huntsville. We have already seen nearly 9 1/2 inches of rain this month. In addition, since December 2008, the past six months the Valley has seen 39 3/4 inches of rain.  This total rainfall is more rain than the Valley saw in all of 2007 and just shy of what the Valley received in 2006 and 2005.

Dale Bader / Meteorologist, Storm Force 31

Severe Weather Likely Saturday

Friday, May 15th, 2009

Then MUCH COOLER Weather Rushes In

When the thunderstorms start forming on Saturday, the thunderstorms will likely intensify quickly, causing showers and thunderstorms to become strong to severe, with a likelihood of isolated damaging winds and hail up to nickel and quarter size.  These thunderstorms will spread across the entire Tennessee Valley, will be responsible for raining out several outdoor events, and will carry dangerous and potentially deadly lightning.

 Saturday Afternoon's Stormy Weather

Sunday, MUCH cooler weather will rush in, as temperatures will struggle to reach the middle 60s, as the clouds break in the afternoon, giving us a gorgeous and somewhat crisp sunset.  Monday morning, prepare for morning lows in the 40s (upper 40s to near 50) with clear, crisp weather Monday morning.  Monday afternoon will carry a beautiful taste of Spring, with high temperatures in the low 70s with low humidities.

Now, let me show you a video that was sent to me by some WAAY-31 viewers in Anderson, AL.  This video shows something I have never seen, and is quite interesting to watch. 

I don’t know what specifically has caused this (perhaps a lawn well-sodded when it was laid, with the water getting UNDER the sod but above the hard-pack below) but it is very interesting to see.  Enjoy.

Brad Huffines, Chief Meteorologist / Storm Force 31

The Warm Muggies Coming Back

Tuesday, May 12th, 2009

Cooler Weather Refreshing, But Short-Lived

As a warm front moves across the Tennessee Valley Tuesday night and Wednesday morning, we’ll see an immediate return to higher humidities and haze in our afternoon skies.  ALong with the return of higher humidities will come the chances for isolated thunderstorms Wednesday and Thursday, more widespread activity on Friday, and likely evening and overnight Saturday night and Sunday morning.

THU Aftn T-storms Possible

If the front which is forecast to move across the ‘Valley’ does in fact set up shop to our south, we’ll see cooler weather on Sunday afternoon and Monday.  If it does what other recent cool fronts has done, and sit on top of us or just to our north or south, the chances for scattered t-storms will remain in the forecast.  As of now, however, it looks like cooler air will prevail from Sunday on.  We’ll just have to watch and see how it all transpires over the next 5 to 6 days. 

You can stay up-to-date for the latest forecast details on WAAY-TV, www.waaytv.com, Twitter & Facebook (StormForce31).  Check the 7-Day Forecast for Additional Details.

Brad Huffines, Chief Meteorologist / Storm Force 31

STS-125 “Mission to Service NASA’s Hubble Space Telescope”

Sunday, May 10th, 2009

Launch Weather Looks Like a “GO”

 

 

 

Shuttle Atlantis is sitting on the launch pad at Cape Canaveral, FL but not for long. Launch is scheduled for 1:01 PM, Monday. Mother Nature appears to be agreeing with this planned launch time as the weather for launch is looking GREAT. At launch, skies will be mostly clear and a gentle southeast wind is expected.

 

The mission is planned to last 11 days. During this time, the shuttle crew will complete 5 space walks used to repair the aging Hubble Space Telescope. Shuttle Atlantis is scheduled to return to Earth at the Kennedy Space Center in Florida on May 22, 2009 at 10:41 AM CDT.

Dale Bader, Meteorologist/Storm Force 31

Another May Day, More Storms

Wednesday, May 6th, 2009

… Oh, and did I mention Tornadoes Once Again

This morning, the severe thunderstorms started early as a cluster of thunderstorms moved into Northwest Alabama, and spread across all of North Alabama and part of Middle Tennessee.  The storm damage started in Lawrence County as the thunderstorms strengthened, and turned tornadic in Lawrence and Madison counties.  The map below shows all the county’s warnings, overlaid on top of each other, with the tornado warnings more visible as reddish.

North Alabama Weather Warnings May 6, 2009

The 9 tornado warnings I have labeled in order of their issuance verified in some areas, did not in many, and made for a very busy day of weather coverage.  Below are two images of the velocity displays from the NWS Doppler Radar at Hytop showing the wind velocities in opposite directions as the tornado was producing damage.  In between is the NWS storm survey of that storm’s tornado.

Detected Storm Velocities as the Tornado Formed

The National Weather Service (NWS) has already issued the tornado warning at this time, when the storm began producing an estimated wind field of 115mph, a path length of 10.9 miles, and a maximum width of 75 yards.

Click Here to See the Storm Survey from the Survey Team

NWS NEXRAD Just Before the TOrnado Lifted

Click Here for ther List of Storm Reports from May 6, 2009.

I also have a few pictures in a slide show below that shows just a few pictures that were sent in from both our viewers and professional partners.

And LAST, in this busy blog, a few words about May 1-6, 2009.  As of 12:53pm, the rainfall total for May at Huntsville International Airport is 7.83″.

* It marks the wettest 6-Day period recorded since December of 1991

* It is the wettest first six days of May ever recorded, besting the previous record of 5.55″ in 2003

So no you have not just been imagining it has been raining a LOT, since it has been… well… raining a lot.  And from Storm Force 31 to you… remain weather aware.

Brad Huffines, Chief Meteorologist / Storm Force 31

Over Plentiful Rains Now Bringing Flooding to the Valley

Wednesday, May 6th, 2009

Those Along Rivers/Streams Need to be Prepared

The month of April ended with precipitation being above normal and May’s normal rainfall has already been exceeded, too. In fact, since April 1st and through noon today,  Huntsville has officially seen 13.62”  which is 8.12” above normal  and the Shoals has seen 8.52” which is 3.15” above normal.  This abundant amount of rainfall across the Tennessee Valley has already caused local waterways to fill up and in some cases spill out of their banks. In addition, even if the rains stop now, the rivers will likely continue to rise for the next few days just in response to the amount of the rain that has fallen today. Unfortunately, more  rain is likely to fall across the TN Valley over the next few days as scattered afternoon thunderstorms are likely. Some of these thunderstorms could bring more locally heavy rains that would enhance flooding.

Since flooding is already occurring or is expected to occur, the National Weather Service has issued several flood warnings for many of the area waterways. Here is a list of the waterways under warning, the current water levels, forecast crest and the forecast flood condition.

River/Stream

Location Current Water Level (Noon WED) Flood Stage Forecast Crest Forecast Flood Condition Last Similar Crest

Flint River

Brownsboro, AL

11.8’

17.0’

20.0’

THU AM

Moderate

Dec 2008

Flint River

Chase, AL

6.28’

16.0’

15.0’

THU AM

None

Feb 2003

Big Nance Creek

Courtland, AL

6.71’

14.0’

16.0’

THU PM

Moderate

Jan 2009

Elk River

Fayetteville, TN

12.05’

17.5’

20.0’

WED PM

Minor

Dec 2004

Tennessee River

Florence, AL

18.75’

18.0’

18.78’

FRI AM

Minor

Jan 2009

Tennessee River

Clifton, TN

369.6’

370.0’

371.0’

THU AM

Minor

 

Paint Rock River

Woodville, AL

16.47’

16.0’

19.0’

THU PM

Moderate

Jan 2009

 

Tennessee River

Guntersville, AL

28.54’

30.0’

Occurring

None

 

 

Reminder,  NEVER attempt to drive across flooded roadways. It is usually no easy to decipher the depth of the water across the road and as little as two feet of water will carry away most vehicles.

Dale Bader / Meteorologist, Storm Force 31

Severe Weather & The Finebaum Show

Monday, May 4th, 2009

Nations Best Sports Radio Show Opens Dialogue On Cut-Ins

I run late for work several times a month.  I am supposed to be here by 2pm, and normally am, frequently sooner and sometimes later.  But I digress.  When I am late a few minutes, I am listening to Finebaum.  When it is 2:07 and I am in my car, I will change the radio to WBHP to listen to the Bald Man.  Monday afternoon, apparently after several Birmingham television stations blanketed the television airwaves with enough severe weather coverage to raise the ire of Central Alabamahians to take the complaints to the Finebaum show, since many of the important sports programs were covered by television stations’ weather coverage.

While what makes Paul’s program so compelling is his allowing callers to speak their minds, he frequently makes his show even that much better by providing just enough antagonism to each and every side represented to cause callers to bring their ‘A-game’.  No extra energy was needed from Paul to spur the Finebaum listeners to speak their minds.  In droves.  In anger and in frustration.  After hearing parts of 2 hours of this, Paul was gracious enough to allow me to speak with him regarding WAAY-31’s weather coverage philosophies, television weather coverage in general, and customer service in the broadcast business.

Listen to our Conversation HERE

Antique Radio Microphone

I am reminded that if you anger enough customers, even if they feign anger at you when THEIR home is not affected, and then later blame you when their home is destroyed and you weren’t on, they will soon have such bad feelings about your product that no matter what you say, you’ll never gain their trust.  A very interesting Finebaum program.  Most of those who have watched me perform the weather at WAAY-31 for the past 5 years know how I feel about severe weather coverage.  When we are on, it is time to listen, if we are off, you can let your guard down just a bit.  When the storms get worse, we’ll let you know, and when we need to stay on for hours at a time, we will without hesitation.  But as a rule, staying on for the artificial duration of a Tornado Warning is just not our policy.  An NWS meteorologist may issue a warning for 20 or 40 minutes, but I can assure you that the thunderstorm doesn’t look at the clock.  So neither do we.

Storm-Based Warnings Example

The good news is, if you want to see people talk incessantly about thunderstorms that either are or aren’t severe, until the storms pass toward their expiration time, you’ll find that.  It may or may not be me on a given day, but you can find it nonetheless.  If you want to be scared, you can find that.  If you want to be bored to tears, you can find that as well.  As for me and my staff, we’ll behave only as is dictated by the thunderstorms themselves.  We’ll cut in when there aren’t warnings at times, when no one else will, and we’ll only provide sporadic coverage in situations when the storms are strong enough for warnings, but not quite strong enough for wall-to-wall speaking, trying to justify for this reason and that why a storm is or is not dangerous.

And I’ll keep listening to Finebaum, when I can sneak in late, travel from here to there during the appointed hours, and from my desk in the weather office occasionally when I just can’t get enough of the subject of the day, and fellowship with the F-man, I-man, Charles from Reeltown, Tammy, and the rest of the crew who makes the show darned hard to miss.  Oh, and today, Brad from Huntsville.

Brad Huffines, Chief Meteorologist / Storm Force 31