Archive for September, 2008

The Cooler Air is On the WAAY!

Tuesday, September 30th, 2008

A 1-2 PUNCH (Sounds dramatic, huh?) Brings Cooler Temps

My two year old can punch.  My 16 year old can punch.  My 20 year old can punch as well.  Now there is a difference between the three of them.  Benjamin (20) is at the United States Military Academy at West Point, has had boxing class (Nope, not me!!) and bloody pictures to prove it, Brian (17) is active in the Civil Air Patrol and is expected to maintain a physical regimen, and Kyler (2) is very big for his age, whereupon he can deliver a slap to his Daddy’s bare chest to sting a little.

Tuesday Night's Forecast

This cool front is a Kyler slap, and not a Benjamin face punch.  I hope that brings things into perspective for you.  Now across the northern Plains, it will be more like a Brian punch, with Benjamin nose punches awaiting more back-up from the Arctic later this year.  And Not just Benjamin nose punches, but long-term forecasts promise a few Mike Tyson body blows and ear nipping as the season proceeds.

I bet you have never heard THIS type of explanation for a cool front’s strength.

Thursday Morning's Forecast

The cooler air begins to arrive as the cool front moves across the Tennessee Valley Tuesday evening, which basically was the opening slap which will be followed by another on Thursday morning when the coldest air of THIS weather pattern arrives.  You will feel it less in the afternoon temperatures Wednesday to Thursday as the morning low temperatures Thursday to Friday.  Some of us will see morning lows in the upper 30s in protected mountain valleys and non-water bound low spots, with a quick rebound back into the 80s for highs this weekend.

Our Favorite Mike Tyson

Be prepared for more non-traditional descriptions of the upcoming autumn and winter weather.  I enjoy the challenge.

Brad Huffines, Chief Meteorologist / Storm Force 31

“Happy Trails” to You…

Monday, September 29th, 2008

… If you want some of the best training in the Tennessee Valley

It is in times like this, while the weather continues to remain serene, that I want to share with you a wonderful day I had last month with my two of my three sons, Brian and Kyler.  When I first moved to the Tennessee Valley 4 1/2 years ago, one of those who I met was Kathi Arnould who operates Happy Trails Therapeutic Riding Center on Steakley Road near New Market.  She has worked tirelessly on her farm for many years, slowly developing her work with many of our neighbors with emotional, physical and mental challenges, while raising horses, and other animals in the highest traditions of organic ranching and farming.  I have an unexplainable amount of respect for her and her work.

Brian Riding for his First Time

In August, Brian, Kyler and I invited ourselves to her farm (welcomingly so, by the way) so she could put Brian and Kyler both on horses for the first time in their lives.  Watching her mastery in teaching them some of the basics and many of the complexities of working with a horse, as a team and as a leader, and then watching my boys handle animals hundreds of pounds heavier than them astounded me.

Another Amazing Animal at Happy Trails

Her love for these, and all of her animals is obvious, and shows her, and those who help her (one of which with Kyler, Allison Hale) genuine love and respect for these gorgeous animals.  I was truly honored to be the one who got to photograph and video their interactions with my kids, and suggest that if you have children, or relatives, challenged or not,  to call Kathi, and talk to her about heading out to the farm, and learning more about these amazing animals.

Kyler Meets Dolly... Hello Dolly.

Form working with those with handicaps to those who have none, from parties to personal riding training, or just for the sake of helping Kathi build this amazing vision, please call her, email her, and meet her.  You will have an amazing day under her care and provision.

Happy Trails Therapeutic Riding Center, New Market, AL, 256-851-7051, info@happytrailstrc.org, www.happytrailstrc.org

Weatherlore Galore

Thursday, September 25th, 2008

A recent post of mine to this blog made reference to weatherlore attached to the autumn season.  So, I thought you might like to see some of the more popular lores that have evolved over many many years.

  • Horses run fast before a violent storm or before windy conditions.
  • Pigs gather leaves and straw before a storm.
  • Flowers close up before a storm.
  • If the bull leads the cows to pasture, expect rain; if
    the cows precede the bull, the weather will be uncertain.
  • Expect rain and maybe severe weather when dogs eat grass.
    (This almost always happens before we have a major oubreak of tornadoes)
  • Wolves always howl more before a storm.
  • When the rooster goes crowing to bed, he will rise with a watery head.
  • Ants are busy, gnats bite, crickets sing louder then usual
    spiders come down from their webs, and flies gather in
    houses just before rain and possible severe storms.
  • Evening red and morning gray Are sure signs of a fine day.
  • Evening gray and morning red, put on your hat or you’ll wet your head.
  • When small clouds join and thickne, expect rain.
  • Dandelion blossoms close before a storm.
  • If autumn leaves are slow to fall, prepare for a cold winter..
  • When the leaves of trees turn over, it foretells windy
    conditions and possible severe weather
  •                                        

  • Redbirds or Blubirds chatter when it’s going to rain
  • Birds on a telephone wire indicate the coming of rain.
  • Before a storm, cows will lie down and refuse to go out to pasture.
  • When spiders weave their webs by Noon, fine weather is coming soon.
    If wasps build their nests high, the winter will be long and harsh.
  • When it is evening you say, “It will be fair, for the sky is red.” And in the morning,
    “It will be stormy today, for the sky is red and threatening.”
    Matthew 16:2
  • It will be a cold, snowy winter if:
  • -Squirrels accumulate huge stores of nuts.
  • -Beavers build heavier lodges than usual.
  • -Hair on bears and horses is thick early in season.
  • -the breastbone of a fresh-Cooked turkey is dark purple.
  • A severe summer denotes a windy autumn;
  • A windy winter a rainy spring;
  • A rainy spring a severe summer;
  • A severe summer a windy autumn;
  • A month that comes in good, goes out bad.
  • A warm christmas,
  • A Cold Easter.
  • The sky turns green in a storm when there is hail.
  • A veering wind will clear the sky,
  • A backing wind says storms are nigh.
  • When you look out your window and see your Dogs jumping around and
    ducking Its a sign that its hailing.
  • When dogs in your house start looking paranoid scitso frenique
    expect very heavy sleet for 5 hours.
  • Happy Forecasting !

    Gary Dobbs, Meteorologist / StormForce 31

    Ragweed or Goldenrod?

    Wednesday, September 24th, 2008

    They look similar, but are greatly different with the way they affect your sensitive nose.  Harvey Cotton, from the Huntsville Botanical Garden, reminds us that most of us, while sensitive to Ragweed, are not sensitive to Goldenrod, which can actually be viewed as a gorgeous plant, especially if they cover an entire field. So don’t herbicide too quickly, and make sure that you are spraying Ragweed, and not Goldenrod.

    Goldenrod

    Click on the above image for a great article to help you decide which is which.  Ragweed is indeed the bad guy.

    Enjoy your Wednesday.

    Brad Huffines, Chief Meteorologist / Storm Force 31

    The Vernal and Autumnal Equinoxes

    Monday, September 22nd, 2008

    With the autumnal equinox occuring Monday at 10:44 am, I thought we could write a little explainer as to what this is all about.  The graphic below shows the seasonal cycle, and how the angle of the earth with respect to the sun’s position affects the way the earth warms seasonally.  On the Autumnal and Vernal Equinox, the entire earth sees 12 hours of sun and night, approximately.

    The Cycle fo Seasons

    Now, let’s pretend that you’re the person standing on the Earth in the picture below, living in Topeka, Kansas, around 40° N latitude. The pictures show the view from the solar system (upper panel), and from on the surface of the earth (lower panel). Notice that some of the same features are labelled on each panel. In the upper panel, the Earth’s axis is pointing into your computer screen.

    The upper panel shows that on an equinox (which occurs around March and September 21), neither half of the Earth points directly towards the Sun. In fact, the Sun is at the equator, so both halves of the Earth are getting about the same amount of sunlight. For someone in Topeka, the altitude of the Sun is about 50°, in between its altitude on the solstices. The bottom panel shows how this looks to someone standing on the ground in Topeka.

    Equinox literally means “equal night”. On the vernal (spring) and autumnal (fall) equinoxes, day and night are the same length. Neither hemisphere gets more sunlight than the other, so both have similar seasons (fall in one hemisphere and spring in the other).

    How high the Sun gets in your sky, and how long it is above the horizon during the day, depend not only on the season, but also on your latitude.

    Huntsville Autumn

    Since ancient times the equinox was thought to influence the weather. The first Roman invasion of England by Julius Caesar in 55BC was hit by storms in late summer, leaving him short of seaworthy ships and exposed to the risk of being stranded in England for the winter without provisions. In his account of the Gallic wars he wrote: “Since the time of the equinox was near, he did not consider that, with his ships out of repair, the voyage ought to be deferred till winter.” But there is nothing special about the equinox, it is just that storms are more frequent in the autumn.

    Another piece of folklore comes with St Matthew’s Day, September 21, a key date for forecasting the coming months: “Matthew’s Day, bright and clear, brings good wine in next year.”

    And according to The Unique Bedside Book of Weather Lore (1950): “A quiet week before the autumn equinox and after, the temperature will continue higher than usual into the winter.” In fact, the weather on September 20, 21, and 22 is supposed to dictate the weather for the rest of autumn. Given the great weather at the moment, the prospects for the rest of the year look good.

    Gary Dobbs, Meteorologist, Brad Huffines, Chief Meteorologist / StormForce 31

    Speaking w/ the Emergency Managers

    Thursday, September 18th, 2008

    Emergency Management Often Misunderstood by ‘Customers’

    I was truly honored to be a part of this year’s Alabama Association of Emergency Managers (AAEM) 2008 Conference in Orange Beach, AL this week.  Most of the state’s Emergency Managers, along with several elected officials and staffs of each participated in this year’s theme, PR Boot Camp.  While I have taught media relations and emergency information as well as meteorology for the Department of Homeland Land Security’s Emergency Management Institute, I was invited by Alabama’s Emergemcy Management Agency to address both the staffs of AEMA as well as the attending membership of AAEM.

    Alabama Emergency Management AgencyLogo

    Here is what I learned, and what I taught.  I learned that this state’s filled with county EMA Directors who have a passion for what they do, and ultimately for who they serve.  (YOU.)  There are many things that these men, women, and their staff know about your community that you don’t want to know happens around you, but they and their staffs spend 24/7 thinking about how to handle potential small scale and large scale disasters and how to keep you most safe when things go wrong.  But thanks to their dedication, things seldom take these wonderful planners by surprise.  While no ‘issue’ is the same, they are constantly working with every agency in yours, surrounding counties, the ‘State’, and the Federal Government to protect you from injury, inconvenience, disaster to your infrastructure, both financial and physical, and the emotional strain that occurs when emergencies happen from the strikes of tornado to terrorist attacks to hazardous materials and bio-chemical releases or spills.

    My part of the conference was in teaching a brief course in how to understand the media’s role before, during and after emergencies and disasters, and how to help them know how the media thinks and what they want and need, to assist them in their planning on how to manage the media during emergencies, whether they remain local, or even bring national and international spotlights to otherwise un-noticed communities and local governments.

    Orange Beach, Alabama

    I worked with Sonny Brassfield, with the Association of County Commissioners of Alabama, and Brock Long, the Director of the Alabama Emergency Management Agency.  Both of these men also share a passion in fostering a greater level of communication and understanding between the media operators in Alabama and the dilemmas faced in each emergency response by Emergency Managers and their staffs.  All three of us hope to work together soon to soften the barriers between these two groups  to allow each to see the challenges of the others, and how to use each other effectively in promoting the best safety practices by our communities.

    BootCamp Logo for AAEMCOnference

    Just a reminder, Alabamians, your state’s emergency management agencies continue to prepare for new challenges to new threats and are trying to continually find new ways to reach you in these times of emergencies.  Stay tuned for the changes in the ways they try to reach you everywhere you are.  That is the next big challenge for emergency managers.

    Brad Huffines, Chief Meteorologist / Storm Force 31

    A Preview of Fall

    Tuesday, September 16th, 2008

    After dealing with excessive heat, oppressive humidity and the onslaught of tropical weather over the last month…wouldn’t you agree that it is about time for a breather, even a tranquil moment or two?  Enter the early start to a fall season, although fall doesn’t officially begin until Monday September 22nd at 10:44 AM CDT.  To any extent, it is the break we have been waiting for and it hasn’t come a moment too soon.  High pressure dominates this weather picture and it might just hang around for the next five days, or at least until the weekend. 

    This weather pattern could also be the begining of a series of passing cold fronts that keep the high temperatures mild and the nighttime lows cool…as for the tropics; well, I really wouldn’t count it out just yet because peak season was Sept 10 and there are still a few months left before November 30th arrives marking the end of the Atlantic Hurricane Season.  Good news is that these advancing cold front could give the Gulf Coast States some measure of protection depending on what developes where and the timing of the systems…I remain optimistic!  The long range computer models also indicate a strong system by the week of October 1st that could send temps plummeting into the 40s…just hold your breath and I will get back to you on that.

     

    From the water vapor imagery you can clearly see the extremely dry air draped across the southeast.

    Now for the bad news.  The Tennessee Valley is still officially in a drought, and even though the above numbers appear dismal, I am inclined to believe much more rain has fallen where no official rain gauges reside.

    Keller Watts, Meteorologist, Storm Force 31

    A Hint of Fall Brings Thoughts of Colors

    Tuesday, September 16th, 2008

    With a week of very fall-like conditions forecast for the Tennessee Valley, it could bring to our mind what the fall colors may be like this year.

                                 

           When & How Leaves Change Color
    “Trees interpret increasing darkness as a sign that winter is on its way and start to make adjustments for freezing temperatures and harsh conditions,” said SavATree Arborist Brad Gurr.

    As food production slows down, the chlorophyll that gives leaves their green color begins to break down and disappear. After this happens, the yellow and orange carotenoids already in the leaf become visible. Red and purple colors come from anthocyanins produced by some species during autumn in response to sunlight and excess sugars that get trapped in the leaves. Temperature, light and water supply conditions have the greatest influence over the timing, intensity and duration of fall color.

    “Optimal conditions generally consist of cool, but not freezing, temperatures, mild late-season drought and an abundance of bright, sunny days,” said Gurr, “Late season warmth usually means more chlorophyll and that can delay the onset of fall. Too much drought or an early frost weakens intensity.”

    The “wave” of color usually starts at the end of September. It runs from north to south, from mountains down to valleys, beginning with light yellows and ending with the darkest reds early in November. Peaks follow the same pattern.

    When & How Leaves Change Color
    “Trees interpret increasing darkness as a sign that winter is on its way and start to make adjustments for freezing temperatures and harsh conditions,” said SavATree Arborist Brad Gurr.

    As food production slows down, the chlorophyll that gives leaves their green color begins to break down and disappear. After this happens, the yellow and orange carotenoids already in the leaf become visible. Red and purple colors come from anthocyanins produced by some species during autumn in response to sunlight and excess sugars that get trapped in the leaves. Temperature, light and water supply conditions have the greatest influence over the timing, intensity and duration of fall color.

    “Optimal conditions generally consist of cool, but not freezing, temperatures, mild late-season drought and an abundance of bright, sunny days,” said Gurr, “Late season warmth usually means more chlorophyll and that can delay the onset of fall. Too much drought or an early frost weakens intensity.”

    The “wave” of color usually starts at the end of September. It runs from north to south, from mountains down to valleys, beginning with light yellows and ending with the darkest reds early in November. Peaks follow the same pattern.

                  

    Why Leaves Fall & What Happens to Them

    While humans revel in fall color, trees are making changes to keep from drying out in the severely cold, dry air of winter. Evergreens have needle-like foliage with a heavy wax-like coating to help keep in moisture, and the fluid in their cells contains substances resistant to freezing. However, broadleaf trees contain a thin, watery sap that freezes easily.

    “Most of their parts, including stems, twigs and buds are capable of surviving extreme cold,” said SavATree Arborist David Horvath, “but the leaf tissues are very tender. Trees must seal them off before going dormant in order to ensure their survival through the winter.”
    As leaf veins transfer nutrients to the trunk and roots, a special corky separation layer of cells gradually forms where the leaf stem is attached to the tree, and it begins to sever the attachment. When food production ends, the tree seals the cut. Without that connection for support, wind and gravity drop the leaves away from the tree. Once on the ground, leaves decompose, restock the soil with nutrients and help make up the spongy layer of soil that absorbs and holds rainwater.

    “Fall is also an opportunity for homeowners to monitor obvious tree health indicators and seek help if needed. Early color and premature leaf drop are signs of stress and may be symptoms of tree disease, insect infestation or another issue,” said Horvath.

                       

    Tips to Maximize the Fall Foliage Experience
    The most intense fall colors occur in areas with similar trees that turn color at the same time like in New England. For the most varied and longest lasting color, seek areas with a dozen or more varieties. Consider leaving your car behind and taking in views on a hike, boat or train ride. Try to observe scenery at different times during the day to experience the varying, but equally stunning, light effects produced in morning, afternoon and twilight.

    “To significantly enhance your enjoyment of the autumn season remember to use all five of your senses,” said SavATree President Daniel van Starrenburg, “There’s more to autumn than an eye-popping palette of color. There are also sweet aromas, the sound of swirling leaves blowing by in the wind, the unique texture of bark, and that crunchy feel beneath your feet. Fall is harvest season and a great time to enjoy the taste of fresh fruits and vegetables at an outdoor picnic.”

    Source: SavATree

    Gary Dobbs, Meteorologist / StormForce 31

    Ike Leaves It’s Mark

    Monday, September 15th, 2008

    Now that hurricane IKE has done it’s damage to Texas and Louisiana, I thought I’d share a few photos found from various sources on the web:

    Galveston fire fighter Martin Moses inspects damaged homes September 14, 2008 in Galveston Texas. Millions of people remained without power and water Monday as deadly Hurricane Ike barreled up from the Gulf Coast into the Midwest, reportedly leaving more than 15 dead across nine states.

    ______________________________________________________________

    Floodwaters from Hurricane Ike surround homes September 14, 2008 in Bridge City, Texas. Millions of people remained without power and water Monday as deadly Hurricane Ike barreled up from the Gulf Coast into the Midwest, reportedly leaving more than 15 dead across nine states.

    ______________________________________________________________

    A completely destroyed home lies abandoned after Hurricane Ike hit September 14, 2008 in Gilchrist, Texas. Millions of people remained without power and water Monday as deadly Hurricane Ike barreled up from the Gulf Coast into the Midwest, reportedly leaving more than 15 dead across nine states.

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    Damaged neighborhoods swamped in water are seen from a U.S. Air Force helicopter conducting search and rescue operations after Hurricane Ike struck in Galveston, Texas September 13, 2008. Picture released September 14, 2008.

    _____________________________________________________________

    Gary Dobbs, Meteorologist / StormForce 31

    Taking a Hurricane Personally

    Friday, September 12th, 2008

    As Ike moved ashore along the northern Texas coast Friday night and Saturday morning, the storm was not just blowing winds, waves and high seas into the shoreline, they were making my heart flutter and beat worrying for a son, sister, brother-in-law, nephews, and my former wife and parts of my former family in-law.

     Hurricane Ike As It Moves Ashore

    I am not alone.  Many of you are reading this who know people in Houston, or other places where disaster and storm damage have struck while you sit at a distance, powerless.  As I put on my happy face to talk about great weather in the Tennessee Valley, and how this huge storm will have a relatively small effect on the Tennessee Valley weather, my heart is heavy for all those who have been killed, injured, or have suffered loss of friends, family, or property.

    Ike Arriving in Houston at Sunset, Taken by my son, Brian

    In this blog, I have nothing to share but a personal heaviness.  I will get past this, and my job is easy.  Our neighbors in the storm’s path have the much tougher job.

    Brad Huffines, Chief Meteorologist / Storm Force 31

    Ike Nearing Landfall Along SE Texas Coast

    Tuesday, September 9th, 2008

    Hurricane Ike continues to be a powerful Catagory 2 hurricane with winds of 100 mph and producing wave heights of 36 feet in the core of the storm.  It is currently situated about 150 south of Galveston, TX moving WNW at 12 mph and is slated to make landfall overnight Friday or early Saturday morning very near Galveston Island.  Intensity forecasts are still uncertain, but Ike continues to be poorly organized and appears to be “ragged” at the moment which could prevent the storm from intensifying to Catagory 3.

    Hurricane Forecast Models from Thursday Evening

    Above is the the forecast track of Hurricane Ike that suggests landfall early Saturday morning as a Category 3 storm.  Once over land Ike will weaken slowly and will likely produce sustained winds of 80-100 mph in the city of Houston

    Hurricane Ike Computer Model Forecast

    Ike could remain at hurricane strength as it moves through eastern Texas before finally weakening to a tropical storm over southeast Oklahoma.  The storm will get picked up by an approaching cold front and ushered up through the Ohio River Valley before dissipating late next week.

    Wave Heights

    The above graphic depics current wave heights that are being produced by Hurricane Ike.  Notice in the core of the storm that wave heights are 35 feet while the outer edges are measuring 10-18 feet.  It is very probable that Galveston, TX could receive a storm surge of 20-25 feet with an additional 15-20 foot waves.  This could be a catastrophic situation for the SE Texas Coast with massive damages and power outages that last for weeks.

    The National Hurricane Center’s official forecast is starting to stabilize from issuance to issuance in their updates, and will be continually tweaked until landfall.  Think of momentum, sea surface temperature, land interactions, evaporation rates, rainfall rates and surface cooling that are uneven within and eventually underneath the storm, and other variables that just are not predictable.

    Click here for a link to the local hurricane statement issued by the National Weather Service in Galveston/Houston which includes very strong wording to the public.  Click here for all NWS Local Hurricane Statements

    
    				

    Caribbean’s Devastating Storm Season

    Monday, September 8th, 2008

    This year’s hurricane season has lashed the Caribbean, causing death and destruction from Louisiana’s coastline to the eastern tip of the island of Hispaniola.

    HAITI

    A resident in Gonaives, Haiti, 07/09

    The port city of Gonaives was devastated by Hanna

    The poorest nation in the western hemisphere has suffered most from 2008’s storm season.

    Officials estimate more than 500 people died in Tropical Storm Hanna – mostly in the port city of Gonaives.

    Hundreds of thousands were forced to flee Hanna, which destroyed houses and deluged cities.

    An international aid effort has been launched amid reports of mass shortages of food and drinking water.

    The government has expressed fears of a national catastrophe, as floodwaters from Hanna receded revealing the extent of the devastation.

    Earlier Hurricane Gustav had already left more than 70 people dead and Tropical Storm Fay had killed nine.

    Ike, the fourth storm to hit Haiti this season, has so far killed more than 60 people.

    CUBA

    The city of Baracoa, eastern Cuba

    Although downgraded to Category Two over Cuba, Ike still caused damage

    Hurricane Ike has pounded north-eastern Cuba with 120mph (195km/h) winds, torrential rains and massive waves that have rolled through coastal towns.

    State-run television showed waves slamming into sea walls and in the city of Baracoa surging as high as five-storey apartment buildings.

    Officials said more than 800,000 people were evacuated as Ike approached.

    Hurricane Gustav damaged about 100,000 homes on the east of the island and emergency officials say they have never had to deal with two storms in such close succession.

    DOMINICAN REPUBLIC

    Motorcyclist in Santo Domingo, 02/09

    More than a dozen Dominicans have died this storm season

    Although better-equipped to deal with storms than Haiti, with which it shares the island of Hispaniola, the Dominican Republic has reported more than a dozen deaths from this year’s storm season.

    More than 40,000 people were driven from their homes by Ike, and one man was crushed by a falling tree.

    Earlier, Hurricane Gustav had battered the nation, which lies to the east of Haiti, leaving eight people dead.

    THE US

    Children in New Orleans, 02/09

    Some were upset at the evacuation, but New Orleans was spared disaster

    The most deadly storm of the season so far has been Hurricane Gustav, which killed a total of 26 people in the US.

    The entire city of New Orleans was evacuated amid fears of a repeat of Hurricane Katrina, which wrecked the city in 2005.

    A disaster of that magnitude was averted, with 19 people killed in Louisiana, four in Georgia and three in Mississippi.

    Earlier Tropical Storm Fay left at least 10 people dead in Florida after hugging the state’s coastline for days, making landfall several times.

    JAMAICA

    A house collapses in Kingston, 29/08

    Gustav destroyed homes during its passage through Kingston

    Although spared the worst of the hurricane season this year, Jamaica was battered by Gustav when it was at tropical-storm strength.

    Winds of up to 110km/h (70mph) ripped the roofs off houses and left the capital, Kingston, deserted.

    Nine deaths were blamed on the storm.

    TURKS AND CAICOS

    Floods in Providenciales, Turks and Caicos 07/09

    The upmarket holiday island of Providenciales was deluged

    No deaths have yet been reported on the tiny British island grouping.

    The territory was pummelled by Hanna – then classified as a hurricane – for four days.

    And Hurricane Ike brought horizontal sheets of rain and winds that tore through roofs.

    Ike hit the islands as a Category Four storm with 135mph (215km/h) winds, damaging 80% of the houses on Grand Turk, home to about 2,500 of the islands’ 22,000 residents.

    Premier Michael Misick said people who had not taken refuge in shelters were cowering in cupboards and under stairwells “just holding on for life”.

    This information from  BBC World News

    Gary Dobbs , Meteorologist / StormForce 31

    Short Blog, Watch Ike

    Friday, September 5th, 2008

    As Hurricane Ike reveals to the forecasters of the country and the residents of the coasts of North America, from islands to mainland coasts, all of those affected need to remain aware of the path of this storm.

     Hurricane Ike's Forecast Path

    Stay tuned, and if your travels potentially take you in its path, stay extra aware.

    Brad Huffines, Chief Meteorologist, Storm Force 31

    Gustav May Actually Let Go of Rain!

    Wednesday, September 3rd, 2008

    Okay, so Hanna has taken a long time to develop into the growing tropical system it has been forecast to do.  Now that the storm has drifted south-EAST before drifting northwest, the computer models, still forecasting a NW movement with a N to NE turn.  With the drift before the movement, the storm looks to be impacting more the Carolinas and Mid-Atlantic States than the coast of Florida or Georgia.  Meanwhile, the winds aloft have been continuing to evolve into a pattern that is pushing a blocking cool front out of the way to allow more movement of the remnants of Gustav.

     The Big Picture of Gustav, Hanna, and said 'Front'

    Therefore, with this change, there will be increasing rain chances into the Tennessee Valley Thursday, Friday, and Saturday.  Even though there may be locally heavier amounts of rain in NW Alabama and parts of Middle and Southern Middle Tennessee, most who see rain will likely see 1/4 to 1/2 inch totals at the most.

    But, we all need to keep an eye on Ike, the next storm on the tropical docket, that will by the weekend show us if it will be a threat for the Gulf, Atlantic, or Caribbean coasts.  Stay tuned.

    Brad Huffines, Chief Meteorologist / Storm Force 31

    Hanna, Ike, and Josephine

    Tuesday, September 2nd, 2008

    While tropical depression Gustav is still causing problems to Mississippi, Louisiana, Texas and Arkansas, it is now obvious that the Tennessee Valley will miss out on the much needed rain it could have delivered.  Now we have tropical storm Hanna, but it’s forecasted path is moving it toward the eastern side of Florida and then along the Atlantic seaboard; again leaving us out from rain again.  Tropical storm Ike is showing some signs of heading generally toward the Gulf of Mexico by next week, so we’ll just have to wait and see if THAT pans out.  And it’s anybody’s scientific guess as to what tropical storm Josephine may do.

    Here is the latest from the hurricane center on the positioning of these systems.

    And here are the forecasted paths:

    A very active several days ahead in the Atlantic and perhaps the Gulf.  Stay tuned  !!

    Gary Dobbs , Meteorologist / StormForce 31