Archive for October, 2007

High Pressure or High Strung??

Wednesday, October 31st, 2007

 

Frequently, television meteorologists are heard referring to high pressure weather systems that bring us picture perfect skies and pleasant conditions while low pressure is typically blamed for the “not so perfect” weather scenarios.  But in the name of perfect weather, let us investigate this high pressure phenomenon a bit further.  High pressure is simply large scale weather system in which the wind flow is counter clock-wise, or anti-cyclonic, around the center.     

High pressure areas are generally larger and move more slowly than low pressure systems. The winds circulate around the centre in a clockwise, ‘anticyclonic’ movement. The winds are generally weaker than those around a low pressure, especially in the center.

In a high pressure, the air is generally sinking slowly, or ’subsiding’. As air falls it warms, preventing clouds from forming. This is why highs are generally clear. However, sometimes the ground may be warm enough to cause some air to rise, and this can form a layer of cloud.

High pressure does not necessarily mean warm weather. A ‘cold anticyclone’ has cold air near the ground, and is common in Canada, where the cold air is cooling and subsiding. Another cold anticyclone is an area of high pressure sandwiched between two areas of low pressure.

‘Warm anticyclones’ include the Azores high. The Azores have a warm climate, which normally indicates rising air, but at this latitude, the earth’s air has a tendency to sink and so a high pressure is formed.


Sometimes a high pressure will ‘get stuck’, and can stay in the same position for over a week. This is called a ‘blocking high’ and forces other weather systems to go round it. These blocks often reoccur in the same place, including the southeast U.S  This gives us some more unusual weather, either dragging air from further north or further south than usual.

A common phrase used by weather forecasters is a ‘ridge of high pressure’. This often indicates settled weather. A ridge is an area of high pressure that does not have a closed circulation, it either extends from a high pressure or is sandwiched between a couple of lows.

Although in the US we have been taught to love high pressure, in winter it can bring frost and fog. In the Summer it can cause problems with smog, as the pollution gets ‘caught’ in the sinking air. However, there is a chance that a high pressure will bring the sun and in the US we always try to be optimistic!

Here’s hoping that if your jon finds you outside, rest assured the next few days it will indeed be a ‘High Pressure Job’!

Keller Watts, Meteorologist / Storm Force 31

Above Freezing with FROST? How!?

Monday, October 29th, 2007

As temperatures plunge to the Mid to Upper 30s, many of the residents of the Tennessee Valley will see a few patches of frost.  But with temperatures of 37 to 39 degrees, how can frost form when those temperatures are above freezing?

Frosty AM

Remember that frequently, meteorologists make the mistake of forecasting what ‘official thermometers’ may read instead of actual temperature along surfaces.  The same as the temperature on the track at Talledega can reach 120 while the air temperature is 95, the temperature on the top of an automobile can reach 29 degrees while the ambient air temperature is 37 degrees.  SURFACES frequently have a different temperature then the air well above the surfaces, which are affected by winds and light breezes.

So, when the temperature along a surface (car top, auto glass, blades of grass) fall to the ‘Dew Point’ (ACTUALLY FROST POINT), and that ‘point; is at or below freezing, then the water molecules present in the air loose enough energy to cool to ice.  Therefore, as the surface temperatures fall, the cold surfaces cool the air immediately above that surface.  As the air molecules slow, the water molecules lose energy, and fall out of their ‘gas state’ into their ’solid state’, which are ice molecules.

Get your scraper, keep it handy, and use it when necessary.  Please.

 Jackets in the Morning.  Sleeves in the Afternoon.  Beautiful Valley weather!

 Brad Huffines, Chief Meteorologist / Storm Force 31

I Know Jack About the ‘Jack’

Thursday, October 25th, 2007

At the risk of giving free advertisement to a for-profit company, I owe something to the organizers of the Jack Daniel’s World Championship Invitational Barbecue.  6 years ago, I was watching one of my favorite television networks (The Food Channel… as if you can’t tell by my shape) and saw a 30 minute program about ‘The Jack’.  Fast forward 3 years, and I am sitting in the famous Miss Mary Bobo’s Boarding House in Lynchburg, TN, when I asked what it took to become a judge for the famous barbecue contest.  Thankfully, the woman I asked in on the judges committee, recognized me from being on WAAY-31, and said she would bring my name up to the group when they picked judges.  I passed muster, was invited, and will do everything I can to stay on that judges list for as long as I can.

The Jack

I have been a backyard cook for many years.  I fancy myself as an amateur chef, cook many things, love to cook when I can, and was thrilled to be able to judge other’s work in the World of BBQ.  After going through Kansas City Barbecue Society judges training, my first year of judging was fabulous.  Last year even BETTER, and THIS year I am expecting to be better still.  Judging is a VERY SERIOUS job, and we all take it VERY seriously.  The cooking teams, from the United States as well as teams from all over the world spend months and years perfecting recipes and deserve nothing less than judges who take their work seriously.

One of MANY Teams Displays

For me it has ignited my passion for smoking foods of all kinds, perfecting my own recipes, and sharing them with neighbors, friends, and co-workers at times.  My most recent muse is Brad McMicken, a WAAY-31 news photographer, who has set a high bar for smoked Boston Butt, who I would pit against any of the recipes I have tasted at the contests I have had the honor or judging.

The tip for the weekend?  Hang out near the judges Pavilion.  There are bleachers to watch the judging.  After each category, the extra food the teams provide are usually passed out near the fence.  Don’t be shy.  Stand there, watch the judges, and you will get to taste some of the best BBQ in the entire world.  When the teams turn in their food, it is a show within a show itself.  Get your video cameras out, and watch some of the teams show up with costumes, songs, and just a lot of fun.  And frequently, following the judging, if you walk around the teams’ trailers and set-ups they often let you sample their BBQ as well.  Talk to them, learn, go home, and try it yourself.  You WILL have a blast.

Brad Huffines, Chief Meteorologist / Storm Force 31

Some Situations are Just NOT Forecastable

Monday, October 22nd, 2007

Ok.  I DO admit it. 

Rainy System Sets Up Shop in the SE 

Sometimes, storm systems, like the one affecting the Southeast this week, are so large, and have created their own environment, they can, and often do, wobble in directions that just aren’t forecast.

North Am. Model TUE

The above image shows the start of a storm system that will settle into the South.  To explain, when you are just to the right of one of those deep ‘troughs’ in the jet stream, your precipitation chances are high.  The closer you are to that trough, your chances higher, the further away, lower.  So if this storm does what is forecast, and drift WESTWARD this week, the rain chances will fall day by day here in the TN Valley.

North AM Model WED

If this storm system does center itself to our west as far as the image above, our rain chances will drop dramatically Wednesday Night and Thursday, with only a chance for scattered showers.  If the storm forms closer to us, the rain chances will hold on for a few more days.

So, in a massive scale like this storm system, it is impossible to tell exactly where it will develop, and where it will wobble.  I guess that is why we do weathercasts several times a day.  The weather is guaranteed to change… as is our Storm Force 31 forecast.

Stay Tuned.

 Brad Huffines, Chief Meteorologist / Storm Force 31

Overview of Storm Force 31 Coverage & Storm Reports from THU 10/18

Friday, October 19th, 2007

Here are a list of storm reports from the NWS HUN during and following the storms of Oct 18/19, 2007.  Also included is a summary of WAAY-31 storm coverage that evening.

T-storms Move Across TN and OH Valleys Oct 18, 2007

1110 PM     TSTM WND DMG     2 E CHEROKEE            34.76N 87.93W
10/18/2007                   COLBERT            AL   AMATEUR RADIO

            WIDESPREAD WIND DAMAGE AND POWER OUTAGES

1121 PM     TSTM WND DMG     MUSCLE SHOALS           34.74N 87.67W
10/18/2007                   COLBERT            AL   EMERGENCY MNGR

            TREE BLOWN DOWN ON A HOUSE IN THE MUSCLE SHOALS COMMUNITY
            ON 2ND STREET.
1130 PM     TSTM WND DMG     KILLEN                  34.86N 87.53W
10/18/2007                   LAUDERDALE         AL   EMERGENCY MNGR

            TREES REPORTED BLOWN DOWN IN THE KILLEN AND LEXINGTON
            COMMUNITIES8

1132 PM     TSTM WND DMG     MUSCLE SHOALS           34.74N 87.67W
10/18/2007                   COLBERT            AL   EMERGENCY MNGR

            POWERLINE BLOWN DOWN ON A TRUCK ON MIDLAND AVENUE IN THE
            MUSCLE SHOALS COMMUNITY.

1215 AM     TSTM WND DMG     RIPLEY                  34.76N 87.12W
10/19/2007                   LIMESTONE          AL   EMERGENCY MNGR

            POWER LINES BLOWN DOWN AT THE INTERSECTION OF SHAW AND
            SNAKE ROAD AND HIGHWAY 72 WEST.

1135 PM     TSTM WND DMG     2 NW FLORENCE           34.82N 87.70W
10/18/2007                   LAUDERDALE         AL   EMERGENCY MNGR

            LAUDERDALE FIRE DEPARTMENT REPORTED 2 TREES DOWN AND
            POWER LINES DOWN 3 MILES SE OF CENTRAL HEIGHTS.

1135 PM     TSTM WND DMG     RUSSELLVILLE            34.51N 87.73W
10/18/2007                   FRANKLIN           AL   EMERGENCY MNGR

            2 TREES BLOWN DOWN IN THE RUSSELLVILLE COMMUNITY.

1229 AM     TSTM WND DMG     ELKMONT                 34.93N 86.98W
10/19/2007                   LIMESTONE          AL   EMERGENCY MNGR

            TREE BLOWN DOWN ON HOME ON NEW BETHEL ROAD IN ELKMONT

Cut-ins 2-4pm for initial verified Tornado Warning, Lawrence Co., AL, that caused some tree damage in the far SW part of the county.
Cut-ins 10:30pm THU to 2am Friday for 12 Severe T-storm Warnings for ALL of WAAY viewing area counties.  Storm Damage MOSTLY in NW AL from initial line of t-storms and estimated 70 mph winds.

Thanks to Production, Master Control & Engineering for seamless cut-ins and the best and MOST RESPONSIBLE coverage in Huntville television.  Web Streaming from 3 to 4pm, and 11pm to 2am.

Surface Analysis, Monday, Oct 22, 2007

Next Threat:  MONDAY Aftn/Evening, another potential severe weather outbreak in the SE, TN and OH Valleys.

Brad Huffines
Chief Meteorologist
Storm Force 31
 

Great Weather! With or Without a Helmet

Thursday, October 11th, 2007

Okay, I opened a can of worms when I mentioned that I have a stance on helmet laws for motorcycle riders.  I asked you to read in the blog where I stand, so here is where I stand, and NO my opinions don’t necessarily represent the opinions of WAAY-TV and its management.

Motorcyclist

When someone chooses to buy a motorcycle, I believe some are choosing a freestyle way to travel, or just burn some time enjoying the feel of the wind.  For many reasons, most of which help to shape my fairly unique political views, I am not in favor of helmet laws for cyclists above a certain age and ability to think and make determinations for themselves.  There is NO DOUBT. Helmets DO SAVE LIVES.  But should not be governed by a federal or state authority in most instances.

Now for the UNIQUE part.  I also believe that companies that insure cyclists and even motorists should have the full right to withold insurance protection when a user is not in compliance with what I believe should be an insurance company’s right to stipulate the behavior of their policy holders.  If your policy says you will not be covered if you are not wearing a helmet and an accident or injury occurs, that should be the right of the insurer.  Same with seatbelts, cell phones, and any other stipulation the insurance company wants to put into a policy, within reason, based on a puchasers ability to read a policy’s guidelines.

Bottom line in MY opinion?  No Helmet Laws.  Insurers have the right to withold coverage from non-helmet riders, if that is a stipulation of coverage.

Ok, there you have it.  Now back to REAL weather information…

Brad Huffines, Chief Meteorologist / Storm Force 31

A Welcomed Break

Thursday, October 11th, 2007

It is about TIME!  Autumn began almost 3 weeks ago, and we are finally seeing a couple days of temperatures below average

Oct 11 Highs

It has been since April 27th of this year since we had a forecast high temperature in the upper 60s.  It was 67 degrees on that afternoon, followed by a long and record drought in the midst of a record hot summer.  By the end of the weekend however, we’ll see temperatures back into the lower 80s, which will be back to our seemingly usual 10 degrees above average.

 Beats the heck out of 105, though.  Keep telling yourself that.

Brad Huffines, Chief Meteorologist / Storm Force 31

Cooler Days, Yes. Drought Relief. NO! NO! NO!

Monday, October 8th, 2007

I have decided that for everytime I use the word ‘drought’ for the rest of the year, I will put a nickel into my a bank account.  This will mean that Christmas will be a VERY happy one!  With link after link of drought information, I will not rewrite what has been written, I will show you one of the images sent in from a WAAY-31 viewer.

Lewis Smith Lake Very LOW

The lakes along the Tennessee River are all near average since the controlled river flow is being fed by plenty of upstream flow.  Thanks to Paul Eike for this great picture of the drought affected Lewis Smith Lake.

Brad Huffines, Chief Meteorologist / Storm Force 31

So, Is This an Indian Summer?

Tuesday, October 2nd, 2007

What makes for Indian Summer?  Are there guidelines that show we are officially in Indian Summer, or are we jumping the gun?  There are very few guidelines in what defines a period of Indian Summer weather.  The National Weather Service Office in Detroit, MI, issued a paper 11 years ago , that helped to spell out the history and boundaries of what defines it.  The American Meteorological Society (AMS) defines it here.  But more importantly, what does Storm Force 31 think defines an Indian Summer?  And should we be using the term at all, since it seems to have cultural and racial undertones?

Indian Summer Pic

It seems to me that the best definition of an Indian Summer I have found is a brief warm-up after the first frost.  That definition seems reasonable for North Alabama, but since I am not the deciding vote, I will not set that in stone.  I probably should NOT be calling this warm spell (just a continuation of our warm summer and September) Indian Summer based on most of the defining suggestions I have read.

Pacino in Dog Day Afternoon

On the flip-side are the Dog Days of Summer.  Calling a warm spell in late July thru early September the Dog Days of summer, which does have a definite definition, is within the defined astronomical time frame.  You can find that description here, again, according to the AMS.

 That brings me to my last point, and it is one of racial and cultural undertones.  Most of the definitions of Indian Summer include a negative slant on the Native Americans of North America of one to two hundred years ago.  The naming of this period of time does seem to have a negative thread, but changing the name would take an act of Congress, as it seems that the natives of our continent have the least to say legally and politically about the prejudice they face today.  There are also a few terms we hang onto in our culture, until a generation or two challenge their hurtfulness. 

 Sad Native from 70s TV Commercial

The Cleveland Indians, Atlanta Braves, and Washington Redskins are prime examples of accepted (by most) racial and cultural terms that have not had the support of a ground swell of protest to have them changed.  But as I end this writing, I will respectfully refer to the period of warm days after the first Autumn frost as… A Period of Warm Days After the First Autumn Frost.

You think it will catch on?

Brad Huffines, Chief Meteorologist / Storm Force 31