Archive for August, 2007

Remembering Katrina

Wednesday, August 29th, 2007

 

 Katrina.  It’s a name that some people would rather forget, or even completely ignore.  But, on this second anniversary of the storm’s landfall, that name has been far from ignored.  It will forever be in the record books as the costliest natural disaster to hit the U.S. mainland causing an estimated $81.2 billion in damage and displacing hundreds of thousands of Gulf Coast residents.  It was in the early morning hours of August 29, 2005 that the powerful Category 3 hurricane with  winds of 125 mph unleashed its power along the Missississippi, Louisiana and Alabama Gulf Coast where things would never be the same.  The storm would change the face and landscape of an entire region with no regard for age, race or social status.  From a meteorological perpective, it was a super-storm that produced awe-inspiring images that were captured by the satellites in space that sent chills up the spines of every meteorologist and weather fanatic.  In reality, it was a monster that would alter life as we know it along the Gulf Coast region.   Researchers were able to gather immense amounts of information from data buoys,  weather reconnaissance dropsondes and other weather stations located on oil rigs in the Gulf of Mexico.   There are thousands, if not tens of thousands, of links on the internet that will educate one on every facet of the storm from birth to death, so I will not bore this writing with those details.  I was the meteorologist on duty at WAAY that morning and watched in horror as Katrina made landfall.  I can also remember in the previous days looking at the satellite image and thinking just what a survivor this storm wanted to be.  Katrina was nothing less than a raging monster using every available piece of energy in the surrounding ocean and atmospheric environment to survive.  In the world of meteorology we call that “modifying its own environment” and Katrina had mastered this art.   I also recall the numerous eye-wall replacement cycles that Katrina displayed…it was as if the storm was saying, “Nothing is going to stop me!”, and nothing did.  Most weather enthusiasts were amazed to learn that, dispite landfalling as a Category 3 storm, Katrina produced 12-15 foot storm surges with 15-20 foot waves on top of that.  I’m almost convinced that Newton’s First Law of Motion, which states that an object in motion will stay in motion,  completely applies to the reason that Katrina’s storm surge was so massive and catastrophic.  Katrina was only about 200 miles off of Louisiana’s Gulf Coast when it reached Category 5 status, and with winds of 175 mph the storm surge would have already been set in motion.  It would be like trying to stop a freight train headed downhill with no brakes.

WHAT MAKES A TORNADO

Wednesday, August 29th, 2007

Tornadoes are both terrifying and fascinating. Often, the sight of a funnel cloud in the sky will send folks running for their cameras before running for their lives.

So what forces can make a violently rotating column of rising air, with winds swirling up as fast as 318 miles per hour? Scientists still aren’t sure of every detail, but we do understand some of the basics.

Tornadoes typically form when a mass of cold, dry air blows in over a mass of warm, wet air near the ground. Sometimes an intervening layer of hot, dry air keeps the two air masses separate-with one over the other, like a big air sandwich, but separate all the same. Yet if this “cap” gets disturbed or weakens, sunny days are over!

The air near the ground, because it’s warmer than the air around it, can then rise in an “updraft” like a hot-air balloon. As the warm air rises and cools, the moisture in it can condense into a storm. Condensation releases latent heat, which can make all that cooling warm air warm again and cause it to rise even higher and more quickly.

Many storms can live by updraft alone, but the worst storms have another ingredient, “wind sheer”. Wind sheer happens when winds change speed or direction over a short space. These differences can create a horizontal vortex in the air beneath a storm cloud and if these horizontal corkscrew winds enter an updraft, they can get tilted up into it. We call this rotating updraft a “mesocyclone”…the maternity ward for tornadoes. Add in a cool downdraft full of rain or hail and sometimes we get the upward spinning mesocyclone tilted toward the ground.

Your 31 Storm Force Team will remain your calm in this and all stormy events.

Gary Dobbs

A Break in Heat, A Break in Drought

Monday, August 27th, 2007

Rain on Grass

As the weekend weather showed us, the transition from a HEAT WAVE to ‘Average’ temperaturehold some drama.  The rainfall total had were quite impressive for many locations in the Tennessee Valley, while others saw NO break extremely dry conditions.

 48 Hour Rain Totals Ending Monday Morning

Now that the short-term weather patterns are changing, I am hoping we are seeing a longer term shift as well, but I am not as optimistic.  While our high temperatures will be slightly above average this week, and near average for the weekend, there is no real pattern that shows we are going to drop BELOW AVERAGE soon.  So when you do the math, August will likely remain one of if not THE HOTTEST in Huntsville Recorded History, while we look at a September that holds what climatologists suggest will be another ‘above average’ temperature and ‘average precipitation’ month.

I think we are still in for a warm and dry ride for the next few months, with periods of excitement, similar to the t-storms late Friday through Sunday Afternoon.

Hang On.

Brad Huffines, Chief Meteorologist / Storm Force 31

Most Extreme Weather

Sunday, August 26th, 2007

Hurricane Dean got me to thinking about extreme weather, so here are a few facts to mull over.

Highest temperature ever recorded:  129 degrees F in Death Valley, California; El Azizya, Libya and Tirat Tsvi, Israel.

Fastest temperature rise:  49 degrees F in just 2 minutes; Spearfish, South Dakota, 1943.

Fastest temperature drop:  47 degrees F in just 15 minutes; Rapid City, South Dakota, 1911.

Warmest temperature ever recorded during a snowfall:  47 degrees F; LaGuardia Airport, New York

Coldest temperature ever recorded:  -128.6 degrees F; Vostok Station, Antarctica, 1983.

Coldest temperature ever recorded in the United States:  -80 degrees F; Prospect Creek, Alaska, 1971.

Coldest temperature ever recorded in the Continental United States: -70 degrees F; Rogers Pass, Montana, 1954.

Most rain in one minute:  1.5 in; Barst, Guadeloupe, 1970 (Guadeloupe is a group of islands located in the eastern Caribbean Sea)

Highest average annual rain total: 523.6 in; Lloro, Columbia

Most snow in one-year period:  1,224 inches; Mount Rainier, United States, 1971.

Largest snowflake ever observed:  15 inches in diameter; Fort Keough, Montana, 1887.

Deadliest tornado in history:  Approximately 1300 deaths; Manikganj District, Bangladesh on April 26, 1989.

Deadliest tornado in North America:  695 deaths (Tri-State Tornado); Missouri, Illinois, Indiana, on March 18, 1925.

Largest hail ever measured in the United States:  7 inches in diameter/18.75 inches in circumference; Aurora, Nebraska, 2003.

Fastest wind speed ever recorded:  301 mph for 3-seconds; observed by a DOW (Doppler on Wheels) radar unit in a tornado near Oklahoma City, Oklahoma on May 3, 1999.

A Call to Be Held Accountable

Saturday, August 25th, 2007

If you let it happen, the world of television promotions, slogans, and promises can pull you into an ever swirling pool of pretty pictures, people looking right into the camera seemingly at you, telling you how they will save your life when the weather is bad. It happens in Huntsville, Nashville, Greenville, Asheville, and Vaudeville. But when the weather is bad, do these promises go unkept? When you are told that someone is there with you through thick and thin, then when the weather is thick, and you turn on the television only to see an automated weather update system running, instead of a committed meteorologist, do you feel like you’ve been had? Frankly you should.

When a television station ‘brands’ itself, it is often the same ‘brand’ every other station in that company uses all over the country. Have you ever moved to another city just to learn that a station there promises ‘Coverage You Can Count On’, or to be ‘Live, Camera, Action’, or to ‘Track Every Shower on the Planet’, just like your home station? Kind of makes you feel like your local station has just added you as a number to their corporate bottom line. Some are sincere. Some research their audience, learn what that audience wants, and choose a slogan that is for that specific audience in that specific city. Some choose a slogan that has worked in another city, and apply it to yours, and try to force you to think their slogan is just what you need.

Trust

But at 2am in the morning, when the winds are howling, lightning is flashing, and thunder is waking you, the kids, cats, dogs, and even mice in the walls, it is ok to expect your ’slogan’-ed television station to be there when YOU need THEM, not just when THEY need YOU to fill in blanks in a ratings book to make them number 1, 2, or 3. Yes I am speaking specifically of early Saturday morning, when 5 flash flood warnings were issued, and 3 severe t-storm warnings were issued, ALL after the 10pm news.

Only WAAY-31 and Storm Force 31 were there live until 3am doing live weather updates, answering your phone calls, emails, even announcing that a sheriff’s deputy reported a tornado at 1am in New Hope. (That was a tense moment, when I looked at Doppler radar, did not see anything that looked like a tornado, then questioned the technology I KNOW is accurate, until I finally was confident the deputy saw something else.) While telling you about the report, and being there every 5 ot 10 minutes when I KNEW hundreds of thousands of you were waking up and wondering if there was a dangerous storm heading your way, I was constantly remembering the ’slogan’ we have very thoroughly lived up to EVERY TIME since my arrival in 2004, being ‘Your Calm in the Storm”.

What does that mean? Being there when NO ONE ELSE IS, telling you what the dangers ARE, and what dangers DON’T exist. Storm Force 31 will make NO CLAIMS we can’t back up. Period. Sometimes stayng OFF your television screens if a storm bears watching, but does not bear interrupting you or covering up the screen on your new $2,000 HD television. But we will not hesitate when we DO think that public information matches the importance of customer service.

It IS all about Trust. It IS all acout accuracy. It IS all about telling you what we know, and frankly what we don’t know. It IS all about promising you what we can deliver… EVERY TIME.

Hold us accountable. Hold THEM accountable. Then choose who to watch when you want to be scared, when you want to be entertained, or when you want to know what just IS. Over time, I am confident, who you will learn to TRUST.

Brad Huffines, Chief Meteorologist / Storm Force 31

Watching for Heat Waves & Heavy Storms

Friday, August 24th, 2007

Heavy T-storms with damaging winds, flooding rains, and intense lightning will join the Heat Wave on Saturday, as a cool front drifts this way from the Plains.  Around Midnight Sunday morning, the actual wind shift should occur.  Until this happens, scattered strong to severe t-storms are possible, when they should end entirely in the early morning hours of Sunday.  Isolated T-storms will also pop-up during the late morning and afternoon on Sunday, as the cool front that passed thru begins to drift south and dissipate.

Saturday Forecast 

Another warm-up is coming this week once again, with high temperatures possibly reaching 100 degrees again Tuesday ad Wednesday, before the real cooldown toward ‘average’ temperatures arrives Thursday Night and Friday.

Enjoy your weekend and take great care around the heavy afternoon t-storms.

Brad Huffines, Chief Meteorologist / Storm Force 31

A LITTLE Relief, But Don’t Hold Your Breath

Thursday, August 23rd, 2007

With record high temperatures on Thursday of 103 in Huntsville and 104 in Muscle Shoals, the Heat Wave that started on August 3rd, when high temperatures climbed above 95 degrees (to STAY up to the present day) includes 7 new or tied record highs in Huntsville, and 8 in Muscle Shoals.

VERY HOT 

As a weak cool(er) front approaches from the Northwest on Sunday morning, following another day of near 100 degree heat on Saturday, an increase in humidity and cloud cover should keep us in the middle to upper 90s, and then keep us there for the next few days.  The temperatures STILL hot enough to be considered… well.. hot, but not AS hot than the 100+ heat we have had again much of this week.

The most substantial cooldown is still a week away, but most of the more reliable long-term computer forecasting models shows a cool front strong enough to bring us temperatures to near or slightly below ‘average’.  What IS ‘AVERAGE’ this time of year?  Morning Lows in the Upper 60s and Highs in the Upper 80s.

So Be Patient… Help IS on the WAAY.  (Pun Intended)

Brad Huffines, Chief Meteorologist / Storm Force 31

Warming, Ice Ages, and History

Thursday, August 23rd, 2007

Stone Age Settlement Found Under English Channel

By Heather Whipps, Special to LiveScience

posted: 09 August 2007 09:32 am ET

Erosion on the floor of the English Channel is revealing the remains of a busy Stone Age settlement, from a time when Europe and Britain were still linked by land, a team of archaeologists says.

The site, just off the Isle of Wight, dates back 8,000 years, not long before melting glaciers filled in the Channel and likely drove the settlement’s last occupants north to higher ground.

“This is the only site of its kind in the United Kingdom,” said Garry Momber, director of the Hampshire and Wight Trust for Maritime Archaeology, which led the recent excavations. “It is important because this is the period when modern people were blossoming, just coming out of the end of the Ice Age, living more like we do today in the valleys and lowlands.”

Isle of Wight 

End of Ice Age caused channel flood

Lobsters mucking around the seabed at the site about 10 years ago revealed a cache of Mesolithic flints, prompting further excavations that uncovered two hearths (ancient ovens) dangling precariously from the edge of an underwater cliff.

Burnt wood fragments gouged with cut marks and a layer of wood chippings were found lying under 35 feet of water during the latest dig. Divers brought the material to the surface still embedded in slabs of the sea floor that were carried up in specially-designed boxes, which were then pieced back together and examined and dated in the lab.

“We now have unequivocal evidence of human activity at the site,” Momber told LiveScience. “There were people here actively making stuff and being quite industrious.”

At 8,000-years-old, the settlement is the only underwater Mesolithic site in Britain, though it is probably part of a much larger area of occupation yet to be uncovered, Momber said.

As the climate began to warm up near the end of the Ice Age about 10,000 years ago, people were moving into Northern Europe and settling down in the many river valleys left behind by melting glaciers, Momber explained. Many of the valleys, such as the ones now beneath the English Channel, were eventually inundated completely when temperatures returned to normal.

“A good chunk of the material left behind from this cultural period is eventually going to be found underwater,” Momber said.

Underwater sites better preserved

Despite the logistical problems of underwater archaeology, the Isle of Wight site and others like it are usually better preserved than their counterparts on land, Momber said.

When the floodwater rose slowly in the English Channel, it deposited layers of silt atop the settlement, encasing it in an oxygen-free environment that preserves even organic materials such as wood and food.

“With underwater sites, all the trappings of a society are going to remain, not just the stone,” Momber said. The trade-off is an environment that can carry away the precious remains at any time—a real concern at the Isle of Wight settlement.

“The erosion of this site would be a loss of information to humanity, not just the washing away of a bit of material,” he said. “There is the potential to find so much more there; there is so much to learn.”

Story Compliments Of Live Science

How Dean Got So Mean

Thursday, August 23rd, 2007

Hurricane Dean was the ninth most intense Atlantic hrricane ever recorded and the third most intense ever recorded at landfall (as measured by central atmospheric pressure). The Texas-sized storm killed more than a dozen people and caused billions of dollars of damage. At its height, Dean sustained winds of 165 mph and groduced gusts reaching 200 mph.So why such a monstor storm? A hurricane is nothing but a giant heat-pump; pumping the energy stored in tropical ocean water warmed by the blazing sun to at least 80 degrees Fahrenheit. This warm humid air can cause big trouble when ocean winds coming from different directions converge and help push it upward. As the humid air rises, it cools and condenses into powerful storm clouds and releses the latent heat energy of the tropical ocean water.

Hurricane Dean, courtesy NASA 

As the humid air rises, it leaves behind a low-pressure area that literally sucks in more warm humid air, or more fuel for the growing storm. Thus if the rising and condensing air encounters even more humid air as it rises and if the winds higher up in the atmosphere don’t shear the growing storm apart, and if there is a high-pressure area above it then the steamy, sea-stirring storm may become a hurricane. The high-pressure area above the storm is the hurricane’s “exhaust pipe,” halting the rising air and pushing it out and away, so that more air can get sucked into the space below.Once created, a hurricane can draw life from the warm ocean for days.When it makes landfall or moves into cooler waters the organized storm will quickly fall apart.

 Gary Dobbs, Meteorologist / Storm Force 31

Mother Nature as a Record Player (play-uh?)

Wednesday, August 22nd, 2007

1913 to 1915.

I remember it well.  Dough boys about to go to war in Europe at WW I’s inception.  Woodrow Wilson looking to lead the nation into greatness.  And the last time North Alabamians saw a drought this extreme.  Only 118 inches of rain in 3 years.

Imagine there were no air conditioners.  Few fans.  Electricity still an unfamiliar commodity to thousands of Southerners.  And High Temperatures 95 plus for 20 straight days.  Since Since August 3, 2007, we have seen 20 straight days of 95+ heat, and will break the 1914 record tomorrow, and continue to set the new one through the weekend.

Southeast Drought Monitor

If this current drought continues unabated, we stand a good chance of shattering the multi-year drought record as well.  Unless we get 18″ or rain between now and December 31, this 2005-2007 will be the driest multi-year period in North Alabama ‘recorded’ history, since we’ve only seen 100″ of rain since January 1, 2005.

At least we do have creature comforts (in church are these called ‘Preacher Comforts’?) to keep us more comfortable, but lighter of wallet.  I do also expect lifetime high utility bills this month, as the air conditioners will be cranking out the breeze that lets us sleep at nights without awaking in a pool of sweat…. well, for MOST of us.  Please, PLEASE, consider what you can do for friends and neighbors who are suffering through this heat without the mean to pay for comfort.

The heat will break a LITTLE this weekend, with highs from near 100 to the Mid 90s by Sunday.

More as the week progresses.

Brad Huffines, Chief Meteorologist / Storm Force 31

Life, Interrupted?

Wednesday, August 22nd, 2007

For the past week I have been hyper-focused on Hurricane Dean to see what track the storm would take and where it would strike.  I even found myself putting more important things on hold just to get to the television or an internet connection to check the latest update.  Now, weather is my passion and has been for several years….most people expect a meteorologist to get over-excited about these kind of things and I am no exception.  But, I have some staggering news!  I am not alone!  There are hundreds of thousands, if not tens of millions, of weather crazed fanatics in this great land; believe it or not.  It seems that everyone is interested in one thing and one thing only….the weather.    I talk to many people on a day-to-day basis and the topic of weather always comes up.  Do I get tired of hearing, “Hey, what’s the weather doing” or “Is it going to rain on my daughters January wedding day?”, or “Where is that hurricane heading?”  Of course not, because it is my business to know the weather and I really enjoy talking about it.  I also really enjoy listening to others talk about it, and I always have.

Chasing and Being Chased 

It all started on May 2, 1982 when The Weather Channel signed on for the first broadcast….I was hooked!  Fast forward twenty-five years and just looked what kind of monster they have created.  Hurricane Central, Your Hurricane Authority and Hurricane Headquarters are only a few of the media giant’s slogans that I heard over the last week.  And, they do an excellent job of sucking you into their world…CNN, Fox News and others just continued to hype the storm even though there was little chance Dean would affect the U.S. mainland.  I also found myself glued to the television, sometimes sacrificing my favorite television programs, just to keep up with the fluctuating strength of Dean.  I was sort of rooting for the storm to become Category 5 after it passed The Caymen Islands just because I love to see a good storm thrive; especially a nice symmetrical tropical system…..but please know that my excitement is tempered by the devastation and destruction these storms can cause.  I guess every weather enthusiast battles the same feelings when it comes to storms and bad weather….at least I hope so. 

Keller Watts, Meteorologist / Storm Force 31

MORE and MORE 2007 Heat Records

Tuesday, August 21st, 2007

NOAA Heat Wave Iimage

Ok, I am gonna cheat here.  I am just going to cut and paste some of the information issued from the National Weather Service Tuesday for you to see.

PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL
336 PM CDT TUE AUG 21 2007

…TRACKING THE HEAT WAVE…

TODAY MARKS THE 19TH DAY IN A ROW WITH HIGHS OF 95 DEGREES OR
GREATER AT HUNTSVILLE INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT…MAKING THIS THE
LONGEST CONTINUOUS STRETCH OF SUCH TEMPERATURES SINCE 1952…AND THE
FOURTH LONGEST ALL-TIME.

THE TOP FIVE…
1ST… 20 DAYS … 6/20/1914 THROUGH 7/09/1914
2ND… 19 DAYS … 7/16/1952 THROUGH 8/03/1952
/TIE/ 19 DAYS … 6/13/1952 THROUGH 7/01/1952
/TIE/ 19 DAYS … 8/03/2007 THROUGH TODAY
5TH… 17 DAYS … 7/29/1935 THROUGH 8/14/1935

BASED ON THE CURRENT FORECAST…THIS RECORD WILL BE BROKEN ON
THURSDAY…AND LIKELY ADDED TO BEYOND THAT.

MEANWHILE…AT NORTHWEST ALABAMA REGIONAL AIRPORT IN MUSCLE
SHOALS…TODAY IS THE 20TH DAY IN A ROW WITH HIGHS OF 95 DEGREES OR
GREATER. THIS IS THE THIRD LONGEST STRETCH OF SUCH TEMPERATURES
ALL-TIME.

THE TOP FIVE…
1ST… 23 DAYS … 6/23/1914 THROUGH 7/15/1914
2ND… 21 DAYS … 6/11/1952 THROUGH 7/01/1952
3RD… 20 DAYS … 8/02/2007 THROUGH TODAY
4TH… 17 DAYS … 8/16/1980 THROUGH 9/01/1980
/TIE/ 17 DAYS … 7/04/1980 THROUGH 7/20/1980

BASED ON THE CURRENT FORECAST…THIS RECORD WILL BE TIED ON FRIDAY
AND LIKELY BROKEN ON SATURDAY.

ALSO…TODAY MARKS THE 13TH DAY OF TRIPLE DIGIT TEMPERATURES SO FAR
THIS MONTH IN THE SHOALS. THE RECORD FOR A CALENDAR MONTH IS
16…SET IN JUNE 1914. THAT RECORD COULD BE TIED LATER THIS WEEK.
THE RECORD FOR A CALENDAR YEAR IS 27…SET IN 1914 AND 1930.

…ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON AUGUST…

AS OF YESTERDAY…THE AVERAGE TEMPERATURE AT HUNTSVILLE SO FAR IN
AUGUST IS 86.5 DEGREES. THIS IS 7.2 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL. THE
AVERAGE HIGH THROUGH YESTERDAY IS 99.6 DEGREES.

HERE ARE THE WARMEST AUGUST MONTHS /THE FULL MONTH/ ON RECORD AT
HUNTSVILLE:

1ST… 82.8 / 1954
/TIE/ 82.8 / 2006
3RD… 82.4 / 1935
4TH… 82.3 / 1983
5TH… 81.9 / 1987
..
7TH… 81.6 / 2005

AS YOU CAN SEE…BOTH OF THE LAST TWO YEARS…AUGUST HAS BEEN AMONG
THE WARMEST EVER RECORDED. AUGUST 2007 WILL LIKELY BE NO EXCEPTION.

TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN 5 TO 10 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL FOR
AT LEAST THE NEXT WEEK. EVEN IF NORMAL TEMPERATURES /UPPER 80S FOR
HIGHS…UPPER 60S FOR LOWS/ OCCURRED EVERY DAY AFTER THAT FOR THE
REST OF THE MONTH…THE AVERAGE TEMPERATURE WOULD FALL ONLY TO
AROUND 85 DEGREES…STILL MORE THAN TWO DEGREES WARMER THAN THE
PREVIOUS RECORD. SO…BARRING A MAJOR COOL SNAP LATE IN THE
MONTH…THIS AUGUST WILL BREAK IF NOT SHATTER THE EXISTING RECORD.

Brad Huffines, Chief Meteorologist / Storm Force 31

Hot Weather not helping our gardens

Tuesday, August 21st, 2007

You may recall Gary’s Garden segments in “31 News Live at Five” in my first several years of being here at WAAY-31. I have always had a passion for gardening and caring for my roses and flower beds. 

The recent string of triple digit high temps and extreme low humidities have certainly had a negative impact on the quality and quantity of produced veggies and prolific blooms.

 Garden Image

While lack of rainfall all season long has hampered many gardeners, those of us with ability to irrigate had found huge success in raising our spring/summer harvest.  My tomatoes were big and beautiful up until about three weeks ago.  Same for my roses and other flowering plants.  No matter how much water I put on them, being careful not to drown them, I watched helplessly as they started wilting or being stunted in their growth.

Since I have a large container garden as well, I found no remedy to many plants simply dying from stress of the extreme heat and dry conditions.  Our usual summertime high humidities are crucial to healthy plant growth in the normal July and August temperature highs.  This year has been quite an anomoly to the normals, and our plant life is proof of the damage caused.

The only good news is, it looks like the weather patterns may soon change to what we consider “normal” in the Tennessee Valley.  Higher humidities and more widespread scattered thunderstorms may help our late summer and early fall endeavors in the gardens and flower beds.  And the fact that the tropics are finally firing up certainly can’t hurt us in the rain/humidity department.

 -Gary Dobbs, Meteorologist / Storm Force 31

Warmest August on Record in Huntsville?

Monday, August 20th, 2007

The all-time high average high August temperature is 82.8 in 1956 and 2006.  The 7th was 81.6 set in 2006.  That is saying that, counting the likely record warm August from 2007, that 3 of the top 10 warmest Augusts on the books will be in the past 3 years.  So far THIS month, our average temperature is 86.7, with an average high, as of Saturday, of 100, now slightly cooler than that because of the highs in the mid to upper 90s Sat thru Mon.

NWS Public Statement

So the question BEGGING to be asked is:  Global Warming or a sustained heat wave?  As I am a Global Warming skeptic, leaning toward the earth having periods of warming and cooling over its history, (though feeling that we humans need to do all we can to be good stewards of the earth, our air, our water, and our wildlife) and as someone who does recognize the signs we see every day on news and science reports as what seems to be broad-scale warming, I am not still signing on to the larger ‘Global Warming’ theory just yet.  Is there a chance that in 30 years, I am forced to look back and accept I was wrong?  Yes.  Do I think that chance will come to fruition?  I am a synoptic meteorologist and not a long-term climatologist.

UAH World Climate Summary June 2007

Climate Change Comment on Fact vs Fiction vs What We Just Don’t Know

NASA Global Warming Q&A

The Jury IS INDEED Still Out on Global Warming and Climate Change

 Regardless, this string of hot August weather is impacting all of us, from less money in our wallets to less patience in traffic, at home, and in our lives in general everytime we feel the stress of heat.

-Brad Huffines, Chief Meteorologist / Storm Force 31

DEAN Worth Watching

Friday, August 17th, 2007

**UPDATE**

 Hurricane Dean Misses Cancun and Cozumel, But Still Hits as a MAJOR Landfalling Hurricane

**UPDATE**

Hurricane Dean Churns Away

Oh NO!

The resort where I first Honeymooned is under the gun AGAIN.  Another Category 5 MONSTER storm headed toward Cancun, Puerto Plata, and Cozumel, with a brushing visit to the Caymans.

 As the storm churns across VERY warm undisturbed (this hurricane season) waters in the Caribbean, the storm has nothing in its path to keep it from growing and growing.

 In 2005, Hurricane Wilma was the latest storm to lash the Yucatan vacation belt (see image below).

2005, Hurricane Wilma SLAMS the Yucatan

In this image, Winds were peaking at 230 km/hr (145 mph) as the eyewall passed over the island of Cozumel, and hurricane-strength winds extended for 130 kilometers (85 miles) from the storm’s center.  6 lost their lives in Mexico as the storm passed overhead.

Beautiful storms.  Deadly.  Like tornadoes, one of natures paradoxical phenomena.

 Brad Huffines / Chief Meteorologist / Storm Force 31